| 1. Identity statement | |
| Reference Type | Journal Article |
| Site | mtc-m16b.sid.inpe.br |
| Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S |
| Identifier | 6qtX3pFwXQZ3r59YD9/GbkhU |
| Repository | sid.inpe.br/iris@1915/2005/05.17.18.41 |
| Last Update | 2005:05.23.03.00.00 (UTC) administrator |
| Metadata Repository | sid.inpe.br/iris@1915/2005/05.17.18.41.50 |
| Metadata Last Update | 2022:03.26.18.00.33 (UTC) administrator |
| Secondary Key | INPE-12796-PRE/8086 |
| ISSN | 0043-1397 |
| Citation Key | TucciClaColSilOli:2003:UrRiBa |
| Title | Long-term flow forecasts based on climate and hydrologic modeling: Uruguay River basin  |
| Year | 2003 |
| Secondary Date | 20050517 |
| Month | July |
| Access Date | 2024, May 21 |
| Secondary Type | PRE PI |
| Number of Files | 1 |
| Size | 1821 KiB |
| 2. Context | |
| Author | 1 Tucci, C. E. M. 2 Clarke, R. T. 3 Collischonn, W. 4 Silva Dias, Pedro Leite da 5 Oliveira, Gilvan Sampaio de |
| Resume Identifier | 1 2 3 4 5 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JHBE |
| Group | 1 DMA-INPE-MCT-BR |
| Affiliation | 1 CPTEC-INPE-Cachoeira Paulista-12630-000-SP-Brasil |
| e-Mail Address | atus@cptec.inpe.br |
| Journal | Water Resources Research |
| Volume | 39 |
| Number | 7 |
| Pages | Art. No. 1181 |
| History (UTC) | 2005-06-27 12:35:18 :: fabia -> administrator :: 2008-06-10 19:51:53 :: administrator -> estagiario :: 2010-05-11 16:55:58 :: estagiario -> administrator :: 2022-03-26 18:00:33 :: administrator -> marciana :: 2003 |
| 3. Content and structure | |
| Is the master or a copy? | is the master |
| Content Stage | completed |
| Transferable | 1 |
| Content Type | External Contribution |
| Keywords | runoff forecasting climate modeling hydrologic modeling River Uruguay sea-surface temperature South America precipitation anomalies complex terrain parameterization optimization prediction discharge pacific Brazil |
| Abstract | This paper describes a procedure for predicting seasonal flow in the Rio Uruguay drainage basin (area 75,000 km 2, lying in Brazilian territory), using sequences of future daily rainfall given by the global climate model (GCM) of the Brazilian agency for climate prediction (Centro de Previsao de Tempo e Clima, or CPTEC). Sequences of future daily rainfall given by this model were used as input to a rainfall-runoff model appropriate for large drainage basins. Forecasts of flow in the Rio Uruguay were made for the period 1995-2001 of the full record, which began in 1940. Analysis showed that GCM forecasts underestimated rainfall over almost all the basin, particularly in winter, although interannual variability in regional rainfall was reproduced relatively well. A statistical procedure was used to correct for the underestimation of rainfall. When the corrected rainfall sequences were transformed to flow by the hydrologic model, forecasts of flow in the Rio Uruguay basin were better than forecasts based on historic mean or median flows by 37% for monthly flows and by 54% for 3-monthly flows. |
| Area | MET |
| Arrangement | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção até 2016 > DMA > Long-term flow forecasts... |
| doc Directory Content | access |
| source Directory Content | there are no files |
| agreement Directory Content | there are no files |
| 4. Conditions of access and use | |
| data URL | http://urlib.net/ibi/6qtX3pFwXQZ3r59YD9/GbkhU |
| zipped data URL | http://urlib.net/zip/6qtX3pFwXQZ3r59YD9/GbkhU |
| Language | en |
| Target File | Tucci_Long term flow forecast.pdf |
| User Group | administrator fabia |
| Visibility | shown |
| Copy Holder | SID/SCD |
| Archiving Policy | denypublisher6 allowfinaldraft |
| Read Permission | allow from all |
| 5. Allied materials | |
| Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/46JKC45 |
| Citing Item List | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21/2012/07.13.14.49.24 6 |
| Dissemination | WEBSCI |
| Host Collection | cptec.inpe.br/walmeida/2003/04.25.17.12 |
| 6. Notes | |
| Empty Fields | alternatejournal archivist callnumber copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel documentstage doi electronicmailaddress format isbn label lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project readergroup rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarymark session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype typeofwork url versiontype |
| 7. Description control | |
| e-Mail (login) | marciana |
| update | |